Anyloan Australia

... Personal Finance & Business Loan Solutions

Home
Calculators
Personal Loan Calculator Car Loan Calculator Bike Loan Calculator Boat Loan Calculator JetSki Loan Calculator Caravan Loan Calculator Truck Loan Calculator Home Loan Calculator Business Loan Calculator Asset Lease Calculator
Sitemap
About us Privacy Contact us News Articles Podcast Broker login Affiliate program
Apply Now
Personal Loan Car Loan Bike Loan Boat Loan Truck Loan Home Loan Business Loan Other Loan

Anyloan Australia :: News

Share this news item!

Retail Sector Braces for Tough Holiday Season

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

As Australians continue to face a challenging cost of living crisis, economic analysts have prepared retailers for a rocky road ahead as the Christmas season approaches.

Over the last year and a half, the Australian retail sector has been navigating what might be described as a recession, mostly indicated by declining trade figures. This downturn presents significant obstacles for retailers as they head towards one of the busiest times of the year.

In a sobering analysis by Deloitte Access Economics, partner Dave Rumbens highlights that retail spending has consistently declined over six of the previous seven quarters. This decrease is compounded by high living costs, rising interest rates, and stagnant wage growth, leading to an overall grim economic outlook.

“We’ve seen retailers struggle significantly," said Rumbens. "Real retail turnover has dropped for eight consecutive quarters, and consumer spending has barely budged at a 1.3% increase over the past 12 months.”

Data reveals that the national real GDP growth up to March was just 1.1%, the lowest rate outside pandemic years since the 90s. According to Rumbens, this is a clear signal that Australia’s retail industry has been in a persistent recession for 18 months.

Despite the bleak outlook, this contraction in the retail sector is not surprising, given the weakening job market and the rising number of business insolvencies. “On a per capita basis, the reality is even harsher with real per capita retail spending shrinking by 2.5% compared to last year and further declining by 6.3% since June 2022,” explained Rumbens.

The "economic horror show" does not solely impact retailers; it reflects a broader economic malaise. With real consumer spending on retail down by 0.6% over the year to June, Rumbens predicts a difficult period ahead, though he remains hopeful that future years might bring some relief.

The Deloitte report underscores that new financial relief measures, including energy bill subsidies and tax cuts, might help increase disposable income and improve retail turnover. “While retailers should brace for continued challenges through the holiday season, we anticipate some gradual recovery," said Rumbens. Predictive figures show real retail turnover growth potentially rising from 0.3% in 2024 to 1.5% in both 2025 and 2026.

The recent monthly Consumer Price Index report for July shows inflation easing down to 3.5%, and underlying inflation dipping to 3.8%. Such signs might be initial indicators of economic stabilization, offering a glimmer of hope for Australian retailers.

Amidst this “new normal” of cautious and value-focused consumer behavior, the path to recovery might be slow, but not unattainable. Retailers who can adapt to the evolving economic landscape will be better positioned to overcome the tumultuous times still expected before a more stable future in 2025-26.

Published:Sunday, 1st Sep 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

RBA Maintains Cash Rate at 3.60% Amidst Inflationary Pressures

14 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has decided to keep the official cash rate steady at 3.60% during its November 2025 meeting. This decision reflects the central bank's ongoing concerns about inflation, which has risen above the target range of 2-3% and is expected to remain elevated for some time. - read more

ANZ Bank Adjusts Cash Rate Forecast: No Cuts Anticipated Until 2026

14 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

ANZ Bank has revised its cash rate forecast, now expecting no cuts until February 2026. This adjustment aligns with similar revisions by other major banks, reflecting a collective response to recent economic data and RBA communications. - read more

RBA's November 2025 Statement: Inflation Trends and Economic Projections

14 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has released its November 2025 Statement on Monetary Policy, highlighting concerns about rising inflation and providing insights into the future of the Australian economy. - read more

RBA Holds Cash Rate at 3.60% in November 2025

06 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has decided to keep the official cash rate unchanged at 3.60% during its November 2025 meeting. This decision reflects the central bank's cautious approach in balancing inflation control with employment objectives. - read more

ANZ Revises RBA Rate Cut Forecast to February 2026

06 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

ANZ has adjusted its forecast regarding the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) next cash rate cut, now anticipating the reduction to occur in February 2026. This revision aligns with similar adjustments by other major banks, reflecting a collective response to recent economic data and RBA communications. - read more

Click for more Finance News

Finance Articles

How Much Can You Borrow? A Complete Guide to Assessing Your Borrowing Power

Understanding your borrowing power is an essential step for anyone looking to take out a loan. This concept represents the amount of money you're eligible to borrow from a lender, whether it’s for purchasing a home, a car, or investing in your future. Knowing your borrowing power not only sets realistic expectations but also guides you in financial planning and budgeting for your loan repayments. - read more

Top 10 Smart Borrowing Strategies for Australians: A Comprehensive Guide

Smart borrowing is crucial for individuals and businesses in Australia to manage their financial goals effectively. With a well thought-out borrowing strategy, you can optimize your finances, minimize costs, and achieve your financial objectives. - read more

Essential Factors to Consider When Comparing Australian Loan Providers

Understanding the nuances of interest rates in today's Australian financial landscape is more than a matter of mere fiscal responsibility; it is a critical step in safeguarding your personal economy and ensuring that any loan acquired aligns perfectly with your financial aspirations for 2024 and beyond. In a world where every percentage point can translate into significant savings or costs over time, grasping what's at stake when selecting a loan provider becomes an essential skill. - read more

Debt Consolidation Loans: A Tool for Smarter Repayment Planning

Debt consolidation loans serve a crucial purpose in the financial toolbelt of individuals juggling multiple debts. At its core, consolidation is the process of combining several loans or liabilities into one single loan. This technique is not just a clerical convenience but a strategic move that can transform repayment chaos into manageable order. By merging debts, borrowers can often secure better interest rates, lower monthly payments, and a more transparent repayment timeline. - read more

Practical Financial Advice for Every Australian: From First Loans to Retirement

Welcome to the beginning of your financial journey. As an Australian, understanding the nuances of financial planning is pivotal to securing your economic future. Whether you're applying for your first loan or on the cusp of retirement, the financial decisions you make will have a lasting impact on your life. This guide aims to walk you through each stage, providing practical advice that you can apply to your own circumstances. - read more

Need Help Finding a Loan?

Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check!

All finance quotes are provided free (via our secure server) and without obligation.
We respect your privacy.

Knowledgebase

Capital Market:
A financial market in which long-term debt or equity-backed securities are bought and sold.

This website is owned and operated by Clark Family Pty Ltd (ACN 010 281 008) as Trustee for the Clark Family Trust (ABN 35 957 893 714), 43 Larch Street Tallebudgera QLD 4228. Clark Family Pty Ltd is an Authorised Representative (AR 1298860) of Unique Group Broker Services Pty Ltd (AFSL 509434) for financial product referrals and an Authorised Credit Representative (ACR 401491) of Saccasan Pty Ltd (ACL 386297). Check our licensing details on the ASIC registers: Clark Family Pty Ltd ACR, Clark Family Pty Ltd AR, Saccasan Pty Ltd, Unique Group Broker Services.

IMPORTANT: We do not provide financial product advice or credit assistance. We act solely as an introducer and refer enquiries to licensed third-party intermediaries, insurers, and lenders - with whom you can then deal directly. We may receive a fee or commission from these third parties in consideration for the referral. Before any action is taken to obtain a product or service referred to by this website, advice should be obtained (from either the third party to whom we refer you or from another qualified intermediary) as to the appropriateness of obtaining those products having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. Whilst we have our own process for validating the legitimacy of our referral partners, you should always verify the credentials of your financial adviser before proceeding with recommendations that they may present. Visit the ASIC website for further information.