The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is set to release its September board meeting minutes, which promise to explain the rationale behind the decision to maintain interest rates at their current level.
Market watchers are keenly awaiting any indications of future rate changes.
Since November, Australian interest rates have been fixed at a 12-year peak of 4.35%, with no alterations over the past seven sessions, marking a significant pause. Governor Michele Bullock noted that the most recent meeting was unique in that it didn't seriously contemplate a rate hike for the first time since March. Analysts now predict a rate reduction won't see the light until 2025.
In conjunction with the minutes release, RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser will also address investors to provide an economic update. Expect significant insights, as outlined by Bendigo Bank's Chief Economist, David Robertson, who suggests that the prospect of future rate reductions hinges primarily on inflation trends.
August saw headline inflation dip to 2.7%, the lowest since the period led to August 2021, finally slipping into the Reserve Bank's target corridor. While promising, the RBA remains cautious, preferring to base its outlook on quarterly inflation data to avoid premature decisions skewed by monthly volatility.
"Despite higher interest rates and a shock to inflation, our robust labor markets and surging population have shielded Australia," Robertson indicates. "Consequently, we anticipate an initial rate cut by May 2025, with an increasing chance for an earlier adjustment by February next year."
While Australian rate changes linger on the horizon, New Zealand seems poised for imminent action. Predictions are circling a noteworthy 50-basis point rebate that could see their rates tumble to 4.75%. Added to this, Australia's Commonwealth Bank foresees comparable cuts by November, as their inflation challenges potentially ease.
The upcoming week also promises the release of household sentiment figures and key data on building activities from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. March figures revealed a modest 0.5% uplift in total residential buildings, whereas private houses specifically showcased a notable 4.8% leap. However, there was a reported 3.1% dip in other types of private-sector dwelling constructions.
Across global markets, while the Australian stock scene braces for an uplift on Monday following Friday's upbeat Wall Street close, investors still relish the unexpectedly favorable U.S. payroll results. The report displayed an astounding increase of 254,000 jobs in the U.S., eclipsing expectations, and pushing their unemployment rate down to 4.1%.
Courtesy of this affirmation, the U.S. stock indices saw ascending trends. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 341.16 points to reach 42,352.75, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite saw boosts of 0.90% and 1.22% respectively. As such, Australian futures are also hinting at market optimism with a 26-point increase over the weekend, setting a positive prelude for the trading week.
Despite this optimism, the local scene closed last week on a somber note. The S&P/ASX200 declined by 55.2 points to settle at 8,150, alongside the All Ordinaries which retreated by 57.7 points to 8,416.6. These market moves underscore the constantly evolving and interconnected financial landscape.
Published:Sunday, 6th Oct 2024 Source: Paige Estritori
Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced a significant policy change aimed at mitigating risks in the housing market. Effective February 2026, APRA will implement a cap on high debt-to-income (DTI) home loans, limiting banks to issuing no more than 20% of new home loans with DTI ratios of six times or higher. This measure applies to both owner-occupier and investor loans, excluding new housing developments. - read more
The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), the nation's largest lender, has reported a modest increase in its first-quarter cash profit, driven by robust growth in home loans and household deposits. The unaudited cash profit for the quarter reached approximately A$2.6 billion, marking a 1% rise from the previous two-quarter average and a 2% increase compared to the same period last year. - read more
The Australian financial landscape is witnessing a notable shift as an increasing number of borrowers turn to non-bank lenders for property loans. This trend has prompted the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to closely monitor the sector, given its growing interconnectedness with the broader, prudentially regulated financial system. - read more
Westpac Banking Corporation has announced significant changes to its home loan application process, specifically designed to assist self-employed Australians. Recognizing the unique challenges faced by this demographic, the bank has introduced a streamlined approach that reduces the documentation required, thereby expediting the approval process. - read more
The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) has revised its lending policies concerning companies and trusts, introducing stricter criteria that necessitate existing banking relationships for loan applicants. Effective November 22, 2025, this change applies to broker-introduced applications for non-individual borrowers. - read more
Freelancers and self-employed individuals in Australia often navigate a unique set of financial challenges. The unpredictable nature of income can make budgeting and long-term financial planning more difficult compared to those with a steady paycheck. As work comes and goes in fluctuating cycles, financial stability can sometimes feel elusive. - read more
Getting your loan approved is a significant milestone, but it also opens the door to many new responsibilities. Proper management of your finances after loan approval is crucial to avoid common pitfalls that could derail your financial stability. - read more
Debt management involves strategies and practices designed to help individuals control their debt and maintain a healthy financial standing. It includes everything from budgeting and tracking expenses to negotiating better terms with creditors and consolidating debts for easier repayment. - read more
Welcome to our step-by-step guide to navigating the loan application process! Whether you're seeking a home loan, personal loan, or business loan, the journey can seem overwhelming. - read more
Understanding the Debt-to-Income Ratio (DTI) is a crucial step toward solidifying your status as a creditworthy loan applicant. DTI is a key determinant used by lenders to gauge your ability to manage monthly payments and repay debts. It's essentially a numerical comparison between your total monthly debt and your gross monthly income, serving as a beacon of your financial health to potential creditors. - read more
Need Help Finding a Loan?
Find out now if you qualify and
compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check!
All finance quotes are provided free (via our secure server) and without
obligation. We respect your
privacy.
Knowledgebase
Index Fund: A type of mutual fund designed to replicate the performance of a specific market index, such as the S&P 500.
