RBA Signals Possible Rate Cut: Economic Relief on the Horizon

2

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

In December, the RBA maintained the status quo by keeping interest rates steady, aligning with expectations. However, what caught the attention of analysts was a marked shift in the language used by the central bank-a shift considered by many as paving the way for a possible rate cut in February.

Interest rates have been consistently pegged at 4.35 percent for over a year, a figure set primarily to temper a heated economy while striving to manage inflation. These higher rates have undeniably strained mortgage-holders, simultaneously turning economic management into a focal point for upcoming federal elections.

A key factor suggesting imminent rate cuts includes the RBA's newfound confidence that "inflation is moving sustainably towards target." According to Commonwealth Bank economist Gareth Aird, the omission of the phrase "the board is not ruling anything in or out" from the latest RBA statement signifies a potential end to rate hikes.

"In simple terms, the statement seems to reflect increased board confidence that the next change in interest rates will be a decrease," Aird stated in an economic review note. Such interpretation underscores the ongoing anticipation of a February rate cut-a stance bolstered by the recent communique from the RBA.

All focus is now directed towards the upcoming detailed consumer price index report for December, expected in late January. The scrutinized number is the underlying trimmed mean measure of inflation, which presently stands at 3.5 percent, surpassing the target range.

According to the RBA, reaching the designated two-three percent inflation threshold may not materialize until 2026. Until then, continued progress on curbing "too high" underlying inflation remains a primary concern, urging the bank to monitor further advancements in this area carefully.

As reported by AAP, these developments highlight the mid-term prospects of substantive interest rate relief, marking a possible shift in the trajectory of Australia's economic strategy.

Published:Wednesday, 11th Dec 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

ANZ Finalises Acquisition of Suncorp Bank for $4.9 Billion

17 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

In a significant development for the Australian banking sector, ANZ has successfully completed its $4.9 billion acquisition of Suncorp Bank. This strategic move, finalised on 31 July 2024, marks a pivotal expansion for ANZ, enhancing its service offerings and market reach across the nation. - read more

Non-Bank Lenders Expand Presence in Australia's Mortgage Sector

17 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian mortgage market is witnessing a notable shift as non-bank lenders increasingly capture a larger share, challenging the dominance of traditional banking institutions. This trend is driven by digital innovation and evolving consumer preferences, leading to a more competitive landscape in home financing. - read more

RBA Holds Cash Rate at 3.60% Amidst Economic Uncertainty

17 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

In its latest monetary policy decision, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has opted to keep the official cash rate unchanged at 3.60%. This decision reflects the central bank's cautious approach in navigating the current economic landscape, balancing the need to control inflation with the goal of sustaining economic growth. - read more

Westpac's Bold Move: Prioritising Business Lending in New Strategy

09 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

Westpac Banking Corporation is undertaking a significant transformation, focusing on expanding its business lending capabilities to better serve Australia's small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). This strategic shift involves replacing traditional in-branch tellers with dedicated bankers specialising in home and business lending, aiming to provide more personalised and efficient services to business clients. - read more

LMG's Asset Finance Exchange Hits $80 Million Milestone in First Year

09 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

Loan Market Group's (LMG) Asset Finance Exchange (AFX) has achieved a significant milestone, reporting approximately $80 million in settlements within its inaugural year. This accomplishment underscores the increasing demand for asset finance solutions among Australian small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). - read more

Click for more Finance News