RBA Signals Possible Rate Cut: Economic Relief on the Horizon

2

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

In December, the RBA maintained the status quo by keeping interest rates steady, aligning with expectations. However, what caught the attention of analysts was a marked shift in the language used by the central bank-a shift considered by many as paving the way for a possible rate cut in February.

Interest rates have been consistently pegged at 4.35 percent for over a year, a figure set primarily to temper a heated economy while striving to manage inflation. These higher rates have undeniably strained mortgage-holders, simultaneously turning economic management into a focal point for upcoming federal elections.

A key factor suggesting imminent rate cuts includes the RBA's newfound confidence that "inflation is moving sustainably towards target." According to Commonwealth Bank economist Gareth Aird, the omission of the phrase "the board is not ruling anything in or out" from the latest RBA statement signifies a potential end to rate hikes.

"In simple terms, the statement seems to reflect increased board confidence that the next change in interest rates will be a decrease," Aird stated in an economic review note. Such interpretation underscores the ongoing anticipation of a February rate cut-a stance bolstered by the recent communique from the RBA.

All focus is now directed towards the upcoming detailed consumer price index report for December, expected in late January. The scrutinized number is the underlying trimmed mean measure of inflation, which presently stands at 3.5 percent, surpassing the target range.

According to the RBA, reaching the designated two-three percent inflation threshold may not materialize until 2026. Until then, continued progress on curbing "too high" underlying inflation remains a primary concern, urging the bank to monitor further advancements in this area carefully.

As reported by AAP, these developments highlight the mid-term prospects of substantive interest rate relief, marking a possible shift in the trajectory of Australia's economic strategy.

Published:Wednesday, 11th Dec 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

ANZ Bank's Record Fine for Regulatory Misconduct

29 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

In September 2025, ANZ Bank agreed to pay a record A$240 million fine following investigations by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) into multiple regulatory breaches. This penalty highlights the importance of compliance and ethical practices within the banking sector. - read more

CBA's Record Profit Fueled by Lending Expansion

29 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) has reported a record full-year cash profit of A$10.25 billion for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025. This impressive performance is primarily attributed to robust growth in both home and business lending. - read more

Westpac Implements $177 Million Restructuring Charge in Second Half of Fiscal 2025

21 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

Westpac Banking Corporation has reported a restructuring charge of A$273 million (approximately $177.72 million USD) for the second half of fiscal year 2025. This move is part of the bank's ongoing 'Fit for Growth' program, which focuses on strategic cost management and performance improvement. - read more

Australia's Unemployment Rate Climbs to 4.5% in September 2025

21 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

In September 2025, Australia's unemployment rate increased to 4.5%, marking the highest level since November 2021. This rise surpassed economists' expectations of 4.3% and has reignited discussions about potential interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check! Find out now if you qualify and compare rates, offers and options from multiple lenders - without a credit check! - read more

Reserve Bank of Australia Reports Early Signs of Loosening Financial Conditions Following Rate Cuts

21 Oct 2025: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has observed early signs of loosening financial conditions following three interest rate cuts in 2025, which have brought the rate down to 3.6%. According to RBA Assistant Governor Christopher Kent, credit availability for households and businesses has improved as a result of these adjustments. - read more

Click for more Finance News