Issues such as high construction costs have accelerated the cost of building in major cities at a rate that outpaces property price growth. It increasingly appears more financially sound to purchase an existing home rather than build a new one.
According to Tim Lawless, CoreLogic's research director, "the cost of construction is yet to decline and it remains approximately 30% more expensive to build or renovate now compared to pre-COVID times," reflecting a prolonged period of inflating expenses.
SQM Research's founder and managing director, Louis Christopher, has expressed concern. He pointed out that "indicators show no signs of an imminent increase in housing supply," and has projected that there will be only "138,000 new dwellings completed by FY25."
PropTrack's executive manager for economic research, Cameron Kusher, noted, "Building approvals have plunged to their lowest in a decade. The pandemic-induced rise in construction costs, labour shortages, and 12-year high interest rates have severely impacted new constructions."
Adding to the discourse, Ben Burston, chief economist at Knight Frank, warned that "restoring high levels of housing construction will be a laborious task" due to the steep increments in both construction and financing costs.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that only 163,800 homes were approved for construction in the year up to May. This is 32% (or 76,200 homes) short of the Albanese government’s 240,000 annual housing target.
It is crucial to note that the Albanese government’s target of 240,000 homes annually is unprecedented. The closest the nation came to meeting such a goal was in 2017 when 223,600 homes were built, which was still 7% below the target. This was achieved with a cash rate of 1.5%, compared to the current rate of 4.35%.
Back in 2017, builders also faced lower construction costs (some 40% less than today) and did not compete for labour with state government infrastructure projects. In comparison, data from the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) show that nearly 3,000 construction firms went bankrupt in the 2023-2024 financial year, reducing the sector’s productive capacity.
Given these macroeconomic conditions, it seems highly improbable for the Albanese government’s housing targets to be met, and dwelling completion rates are likely to remain low in the near term.
Ultimately, a long-term resolution to Australia’s housing shortage may necessitate reducing net overseas migration, hence easing the population demand below the nation’s housing and infrastructure supply capacity.
If these structural issues aren't addressed, Australia's housing crisis is poised to exacerbate.
Published:Tuesday, 16th Jul 2024
Source: Paige Estritori
![]() | Contactless Revolution: The Decline of Cash Among Tradies 07 Sep 2024: Paige Estritori Australia is embracing a cashless economy, a trend that is significantly reshaping how tradespeople, or 'tradies,' handle transactions in their day-to-day operations. - read more |
![]() | RBA Remains Cautious Despite Economic Slowdown 06 Sep 2024: Paige Estritori Borrowers expecting a reduction in interest rates due to sluggish economic growth might have to wait longer, as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) prioritizes inflation management. - read more |
![]() | NSW Cracks Down on Abuse of First-Home Buyer Benefits 02 Sep 2024: Paige Estritori More than $9 million has been reclaimed in a concerted effort by Revenue NSW to ensure the first-home buyers program remains fair and effective. This initiative comes in response to a small group of applicants attempting to exploit the system meant to aid genuine first-time homebuyers. - read more |
![]() | Retail Sector Braces for Tough Holiday Season 01 Sep 2024: Paige Estritori As Australians continue to face a challenging cost of living crisis, economic analysts have prepared retailers for a rocky road ahead as the Christmas season approaches. - read more |
![]() | Stamp Duty Ruse Exposed: Hundreds of Aussie Homeowners Face Repercussions 01 Sep 2024: Paige Estritori Australia’s property market has witnessed a crackdown on homeowners exploiting a government initiative designed to ease the financial burden for first-time buyers. The scheme, intended to provide stamp duty relief, has seen numerous participants bending the rules to save money. - read more |
![]() | Smart Saving for Big Purchases: Training Your Dollars to Work Harder With the rising costs of living and the all-too-familiar financial hurdles, saving for large purchases can seem like a daunting task for many Australians. From buying a new car to securing the deposit on a home, significant expenses require a level of financial commitment and foresight that goes beyond everyday spending. - read more
|
![]() | Your Complete Guide to Debt Consolidation Down Under As Australians navigate their personal financial journey, understanding how to manage debt effectively becomes crucial. From dealing with various lines of credit to juggling personal loans, the concept of debt consolidation often emerges as a viable strategy to regain control of financial health. This guide delves deep into the heart of debt consolidation's landscape in Australia, offering a comprehensive examination of what it entails, its benefits, and its potential drawbacks. - read more
|
![]() | The Art of Loan Management: An Essential Skill for Australians Loan management skills are crucial for individuals and families in Australia, as they play a vital role in managing finances and achieving financial stability. Effective loan management enables individuals to make sound financial decisions and avoid falling into debt traps. This article aims to highlight the importance of acquiring loan management skills and how it can benefit Australians. - read more
|
![]() | Deciphering Loan Terms: A Comprehensive Guide for Australian Borrowers For many Australians, taking out a loan is a key step towards achieving personal and financial milestones, whether it's purchasing a home, investing in education, or starting a business. However, the excitement of these life events can be overshadowed by the complexity of loan agreements. Understanding the terms of a loan is not just about ticking off legal requirements—it's about ensuring financial stability and making informed decisions that align with one's financial goals. - read more
|
![]() | Practical Financial Advice for Every Australian: From First Loans to Retirement Welcome to the beginning of your financial journey. As an Australian, understanding the nuances of financial planning is pivotal to securing your economic future. Whether you're applying for your first loan or on the cusp of retirement, the financial decisions you make will have a lasting impact on your life. This guide aims to walk you through each stage, providing practical advice that you can apply to your own circumstances. - read more
|
![]() |
Investing in Your Future: Building a Solid Financial Plan Investing in your future is not just a prudent choice; it’s a necessity, particularly in the context of Australia's dynamic financial landscape. Making significant purchases like a home or car, or even affording a dream holiday, requires a strategic approach to saving. Understanding the value of foresight and preparation is the first step toward making your financial dreams a reality. - read more
|
![]() |
Top 10 Mistakes to Avoid in Loan Repayment in Australia Navigating the complexities of loan repayments can be daunting, but understanding the components and their impact on our financial health is essential. In Australia, a wise approach to loan repayment not only alleviates financial strain but directly influences our credit scores and future borrowing capacity. - read more
|
![]() |
Australian Loan Application Checklist: What You Need to Know When applying for a loan in Australia, it's essential to have a clear understanding of the loan application process. Whether you are applying for a home loan, personal loan, or business loan, knowing the necessary steps and having all the required documents ready can save you time and frustration. - read more
|
![]() |
How Much Can You Borrow? A Complete Guide to Assessing Your Borrowing Power Understanding your borrowing power is an essential step for anyone looking to take out a loan. This concept represents the amount of money you're eligible to borrow from a lender, whether it’s for purchasing a home, a car, or investing in your future. Knowing your borrowing power not only sets realistic expectations but also guides you in financial planning and budgeting for your loan repayments. - read more
|
![]() |
How to Avoid Common Mistakes When Applying for a Loan Online Applying for loans online has become a convenient and efficient way to secure funds for various purposes. With just a few clicks, individuals can submit their applications and receive a decision within a short span of time. However, it is important to approach the online loan application process with caution to avoid common mistakes that could potentially affect the outcome of the application. - read more
|