OECD Warns of Sluggish Australian Economic Growth Amid Global Trade Concerns

0

Global economic growth is similarly anticipated to decelerate. OECD forecasts a reduction in growth from 3.2% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2026, attributing this trend to increased trade barriers among major economies and broader geopolitical tensions. The report specifically highlights that continued changes in trade policies, if maintained, could dampen global growth prospects and heighten inflationary pressures.

The potential slowdown has significant implications for both consumers and businesses within Australia. If growth rates dwindle, this could affect employment, wages, and investment levels across the country. Additionally, as higher trade barriers threaten global trade volumes, Australian exporters may face shrinking markets abroad, potentially putting additional pressure on domestic economic growth.

The report indicates that inflation, while expected to moderate gradually, could still surpass targets set by central banks, including the Reserve Bank of Australia. This poses a challenge for policymakers aiming to balance growth with inflation control. RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized the need to be vigilant against any resurgence of inflationary pressures in Australia.

: Experts suggest keeping a close eye on international trade developments, particularly the bilateral tariffs between major economies such as the US, Canada, and Mexico. If these tariffs were to be rolled back or applied more narrowly, it could lead to a more favourable growth and inflation outlook globally and in Australia.

The Reserve Bank of Australia has room to manoeuvre, given the current trajectory of moderating inflation. There’s potential for further interest rate reductions, which could stimulate domestic consumption and investment. Nevertheless, the caution remains as trade policy uncertainties continue to cast a long shadow over Australia’s economic future.

As policymakers navigate these challenging waters, strategic economic management will be crucial in cushioning Australia from external shocks and ensuring a steady growth trajectory amid a complex global landscape.

Published:Tuesday, 18th Mar 2025
Source: Paige Estritori

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

RBA Proposes Ban on Card Payment Surcharges 15 Jul 2025: Paige Estritori The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has proposed eliminating surcharges on debit and credit card transactions, a move that impacts all major card providers such as Mastercard, Visa, and eftpos. As revealed in a newly released consultation paper, the RBA cites the $1.2 billion annual cost to consumers, highlighting inefficiencies and advocating for a unified approach to card payments. - read more

Future2 Foundation Seeks Nominations for Financial Wellbeing Grants 15 Jul 2025: Paige Estritori The Future2 Foundation has opened nominations for its annual Make the Difference Grants, providing financial support to initiatives that enhance financial wellbeing across Australia. Financial services professionals have until August 21 to nominate local projects aimed at improving financial literacy, assisting those in poverty, supporting disadvantaged women, and benefiting regional and remote communities. - read more

Increasing Number of Qualified Financial Advisers Opt Out of Practice 11 Jul 2025: Paige Estritori Recent analysis from WealthData indicates a growing trend among financial advisers in Australia, where a significant portion of those who have successfully passed the financial adviser exam are opting not to practice. As of now, 5,096 individuals, representing 33.31% of active advisers, have chosen not to proceed into practice after passing the exam—up from 28.36% a year prior. - read more

Melbourne's Housing Market: A Prime Opportunity For Buyers 11 Jul 2025: Paige Estritori The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) recently surprised many by maintaining the interest rate at 3.85%, against expectations of a cut. This decision is seen as a measure to continue moderating inflation, but it simultaneously delays potential spikes in the housing market, providing a favorable window for prospective homebuyers. In particular, Melbourne's current market presents significant value, offering a promising opportunity for those looking to enter the property market. - read more

Improving EOFY Planning: The Call for ATO Portal Access for Advisers 09 Jul 2025: Paige Estritori In a recent discussion, James O'Reilly, Director and Financial Planner at Northeast Wealth, underscored the benefits that could come from granting financial advisers access to the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) portal. Speaking on The ifa Show, O'Reilly proposed that this access would significantly simplify the services financial advisers provide to clients, particularly at tax time and the end of the financial year (EOFY). - read more