US Federal Reserve Rate Decision Grips Australian Investors

1

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Anticipation is rife regarding potential future rate cuts. Independent economist Craig James notes that while the announcement may not yield immediate effects, any deviation from an anticipated tilt towards rate cuts could disappoint US markets, subsequently affecting Australian investors.

While Commonwealth Bank economists predict a series of quarter-point rate reductions across the next four meetings, there's a possibility of the Federal Reserve adopting a cautious stance, as tariffs impact prices amidst a slowing economy that shrank by 0.3% in the March quarter. This stagflation scenario places policymakers in a predicament: to increase rates to combat inflation or to lower them in response to economic stagnation.

The Bank of England's decision on Friday holds less sway, with Australian focus remaining firmly on the US. Domestically, the Reserve Bank's rate announcement on May 20 hints at the potential for further cuts, fueled by controlled inflation figures rising by 0.7% last quarter in a volatile setting.

Additionally, newly significant monthly household spending data, soon to replace retail trade figures as the Reserve Bank's key consumer spending indicator, is due Tuesday. Modest changes in spending rates are expected to be positively received by investors, barring substantial deviation from zero.

Political dynamics are also noteworthy, as the federal election result looms. Craig James points out that anything other than a majority government complicates market certainty, creating trepidation among investors who favour stability, especially the prospect of a hung parliament with independent negotiations.

Meanwhile, on Wall Street, optimism is boosted by robust economic data and easing US-China trade tensions. The US economy added 177,000 jobs in April, exceeding forecasts, and sustaining a 4.2% unemployment rate. Consequently, US stock indices saw gains: the Dow Jones rose 564.47 points, S&P 500 increased 82.54 points, and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 266.99 points.

These developments sparked a rise in Australian share futures, up by 32 points or 0.38% to 11,481, while the S&P/ASX200 saw a 1.13% increase, and the All Ordinaries climbed by 1.08%.

Published:Sunday, 4th May 2025
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

RBA Holds Cash Rate Steady Amid Inflationary Pressures

08 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is anticipated to maintain its cash rate at 3.60% during the upcoming December 9 meeting, with projections indicating this rate will persist through 2026. This outlook marks a shift from earlier expectations of potential rate cuts in 2026, influenced by higher-than-expected inflation and a robust economic environment. - read more

APRA Implements New Cap on High DTI Home Loans

08 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

In response to escalating property prices and accelerated credit growth, the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced a new regulatory measure to cap high debt-to-income (DTI) home loans. Effective February 2026, banks and authorized institutions will be restricted to issuing no more than 20% of new home loans with DTI ratios of six times or higher. - read more

ASIC Highlights Concerns in Rapidly Growing Private Lending Sector

08 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has conducted a comprehensive review of the private lending sector, revealing significant inconsistencies and deficiencies. This scrutiny comes in response to the sector's rapid growth, with private credit extending approximately $200 billion in loans, primarily to higher-risk real estate players and property developers. - read more

APRA's New Cap on High DTI Home Loans: What Borrowers Need to Know

30 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced a significant policy change aimed at mitigating risks in the housing market. Effective February 2026, APRA will implement a cap on high debt-to-income (DTI) home loans, limiting banks to issuing no more than 20% of new home loans with DTI ratios of six times or higher. This measure applies to both owner-occupier and investor loans, excluding new housing developments. - read more

CBA's Profit Marginally Up Despite Intense Mortgage Market Competition

30 Nov 2025: Paige Estritori

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), the nation's largest lender, has reported a modest increase in its first-quarter cash profit, driven by robust growth in home loans and household deposits. The unaudited cash profit for the quarter reached approximately A$2.6 billion, marking a 1% rise from the previous two-quarter average and a 2% increase compared to the same period last year. - read more

Click for more Finance News